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DeepGradientAscent , 4 months ago With nearly 900 BILLION dollars of CRE Mortgages coming due in 2024 alone a 5 % default rate has the banks taking losses of 45 Billion. By contrast at the height of the 2008 crisis the rate hit nearly 9%, which would put 2024 losses at over 80 Billion dollars. Then it happens all over again in 2025 when another 20% or so of CRE Mortgages come due! How do I, a mentally-handicapped retail investor, short the ever-loving shit out of the CRE market? Can plebians like me even purchase credit default swaps?
With nearly 900 BILLION dollars of CRE Mortgages coming due in 2024 alone a 5 % default rate has the banks taking losses of 45 Billion. By contrast at the height of the 2008 crisis the rate hit nearly 9%, which would put 2024 losses at over 80 Billion dollars. Then it happens all over again in 2025 when another 20% or so of CRE Mortgages come due!
How do I, a mentally-handicapped retail investor, short the ever-loving shit out of the CRE market? Can plebians like me even purchase credit default swaps?